If the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator holds, Edwards’ warning appears justified. But the rule is not infallible. After earning ...

Discover the Leading Economic Index (LEI), its components, and how it forecasts future U.S. economic trends. Essential for investors and businesses planning ahead.

Information the San Francisco Fed collects from businesses and community sources for the Beige Book provides timely insights into economic activity at both the national and regional levels. Two new ...

During raging bull markets, exuberance about the market can detach from the underlying economic fundamentals. Corporate earnings growth, which correlates with economic indicators like the ISM ...

Explore the consumer discretionary sector, its impact on economic growth indicators, and why spending varies with income ...

The Treasury yield curve is currently inverted. The M2 money supply declined in December, January, and February. Despite weathering several recessions, the S&P 500 index still produced a total return ...

At The Indicator, we’ve been following the conditions in Venezuela over the years. In 2024 we covered how Venezuela’s economy ...